Demand Planning

Order Inaccuracy: A Commercial Failure, not a Supply Chain One

Dr. Chockalingam

๐Ÿ“‰ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ช๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ข๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—Ÿ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐——๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ: ๐—ช๐—ต๐˜† ๐—ข๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜† ๐—œ๐˜€ ๐—” ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ, ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—” ๐—ฆ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐˜† ๐—–๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ข๐—ป๐—ฒ! ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜ ๐Ÿญ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฎ ๐Ÿฏ-๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ โ€” ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—–๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ … Read More

Demand Planning

Your Best Volume Month Could Be Destroying Your Forecast: The Hidden Danger of Demand Signal Pollution

Dr. Chockalingam

Your best volume month could be your most dangerous data point for your forecast model… Volume spikes clearance salesย ย You just sold off your slow moving and dated inventory in a … Read More

S&OP and IBP

Why Omni-Channel Without an Effective IBP Is Just Expensive Chaos?

Dr. Chockalingam

IBP Process for Omni-Channel Why Omni-Channel Without an Effective IBP Is Just Expensive Chaos? Most omni-channel operators are managing complexity, not orchestrating it. Demand signals from stores, marketplaces, DTC, and … Read More

Demand Planning

Chronos-2 Revisited: When Zero-Shot Forecasting Meets Real-World Data, Does the Magic Hold?

Dr. Chockalingam

In a previous post I had illustrated how Chronos 2 outperformed the standard Box Jenkins and Holt Winters forecasts from Python asย wellย the forecasts from a popular Commercial time series forecasting … Read More

Demand Planning

Zero-Shot and Ahead of the Pack: What Amazon Chronos Taught Us About the Future of Demand Forecasting

Dr. Chockalingam

Foundation Model Amazon Chronos on Airline dataย  We tested the Chronos Foundation model with just one simple time series data set that is available everywhere – the Airline Passenger traffic … Read More

S&OP and IBP

SAP IBP Heuristic vs Optimizer: Why Defaulting to Heuristic Is Costing Your Supply Chain

Dr. Chockalingam

Fast planning isn’t smart planning. It’s one of those lessons every supply chain team eventually learns โ€” usually the hard way, in the middle of a constrained quarter when a … Read More